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Go Irish!

Sunday, May 06, 2007

ND Football Success Predictions

My buddy Vince, for better or worse, loves spreadsheets. He loves everything about them, but especially plotting things. On the way back from the Blue & Gold game he asked everyone in the car which games he thought we were going to win or lose next year. The schedule for next year is as follows:

S 01 GEORGIA TECH
S 08 @ Penn State
S 15 @ Michigan
S 22 MICHIGAN ST.
S 29 @ Purdue
O 06 @ UCLA
O 13 BOSTON COLLEGE
O 20 SOUTHERN CAL
N 03 NAVY
N 10 AIR FORCE
N 17 DUKE
N 24 @ Stanford


Based on this schedule and the response of those four people in the car, myself included, he charted a few things including the number of people that picked each possible record as well as the percent of people who chose us winning each game. These two trends are shown below. The sampling size grew to include some people at work increasing the number to 13 and now it is growing to include the readers of this blog.



Based on this analysis, if you say that the Irish will win each game greater than 50% of people pick them to win, their record will be 8-4 next year. I'd like for whoever is interested to submit a comment to this post and state your predicted record for next year. Please include a win or loss specifically for each game. Submitting a comment is easy, you just have to register first. They ask for an email address but they don't send you junk mail to the best of my knowledge. Vinnie will re-run the numbers and come up with a new summary based on a larger population size.